Time series forecasting via noisy channel reversal

Pejman Khadivi, Prithwish Chakraborty, Ravi Tandon, Naren Ramakrishnan

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Developing a precise understanding of the dynamic behavior of time series is crucial for the success of forecasting techniques. We introduce a novel communication-theoretic framework for modeling and forecasting time series. In particular, the observed time series is modeled as the output of a noisy communication system with the input as the future values of time series. We use a data-driven probabilistic approach to estimate the unknown parameters of the system which in turn is used for forecasting. We also develop an extension of the proposed framework together with a filtering algorithm to account for the noise and heterogeneity in the quality of time series. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publication2015 IEEE International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing - Proceedings of MLSP 2015
EditorsDeniz Erdogmus, Serdar Kozat, Jan Larsen, Murat Akcakaya
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
ISBN (Electronic)9781467374545
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 10 2015
Externally publishedYes
Event25th IEEE International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing, MLSP 2015 - Boston, United States
Duration: Sep 17 2015Sep 20 2015

Publication series

NameIEEE International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing, MLSP
Volume2015-November
ISSN (Print)2161-0363
ISSN (Electronic)2161-0371

Conference

Conference25th IEEE International Workshop on Machine Learning for Signal Processing, MLSP 2015
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityBoston
Period9/17/159/20/15

Keywords

  • Communication theoretic data analytics
  • Filtering
  • Noise
  • Regression

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Human-Computer Interaction
  • Signal Processing

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