Star search: Do elections help Nondemocratic regimes identify new leaders?

Edmund Malesky, Paul Schuler

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

A commonly proffered theory to explain the use of elections in authoritarian regimes is that they help identify talented young leaders who can be groomed for leadership positions. Unfortunately, due to the difficulties of obtaining data in authoritarian settings, this hypothesis has not been tested satisfactorily. We examine candidate-level data from the 2007 Vietnamese National Assembly (VNA) election and subsequent selection of candidates for top positions within the VNA and for top ministry positions. We find no evidence that vote share is associated with promotion to leadership positions in the VNA and only limited evidence for vote share association with ministerial posts. Instead, the results indicate that leadership selection takes place within the party rather than through elections. Furthermore, behavior within the assembly suggests that those who were chosen may have been selected based on their loyalty or at least pliancy to the party elites.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)35-68
Number of pages34
JournalJournal of East Asian Studies
Volume13
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 2013
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Authoritarian
  • Co-optation
  • Elections
  • Electoral competitiveness
  • Loyalty
  • National assembly
  • Party strength
  • Political development
  • Talent selection
  • Vietnam

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Development
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Political Science and International Relations

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