Abstract
This chapter investigates an increasingly relevant yet understudied phenomenon in counterinsurgency (COIN) policy-making: the dilemma governments face in determining how best to balance the use of various coercive actions when attempting to minimize the threat posed by campaigns of violence carried out by non-state actors. It offers a discussion of the dynamics of the US/Coalition counterinsurgency in Iraq. The chapter discusses the rich source of data to be utilized in the remainder of the study before moving on to specify a number of analytical techniques for modelling the spatial, the temporal and, most crucially, the space-time distributions of insurgency and counterinsurgency, along with the co-evolution of these two types of events. Finally, the chapter offers a discussion of the findings, touching upon possible implications for military operations and future avenues for research on this topic.
Original language | English (US) |
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Title of host publication | Global Dynamics |
Subtitle of host publication | Approaches from Complexity Science |
Publisher | Wiley-Blackwell |
Pages | 195-213 |
Number of pages | 19 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 9781118937464 |
ISBN (Print) | 9781118922286 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Jan 1 2015 |
Keywords
- Counterinsurgency
- Insurgency
- Military operations
- Policy-making
- Space-time distributions
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- General Mathematics