@inproceedings{cce89b4f69f24caa94ce6a2c9b44e9fa,
title = "Scenario development for water resources planning and management",
abstract = "We report progress on a novel effort to develop a unified framework for constructing scenarios for water resource management. The framework comprises five iterative phases: scenario definition, scenario construction, scenario analysis, scenario assessment, and risk management. While the scenario framework can be applied to most water resource applications, we place particular emphasis on semiarid environments and forces not typicallyconsidered in the traditional water management process such as unforeseen changes in government institutions, or second-order effects of climate change on environmental systemsThemain objective of scenario development for water resources is to inform policy-makersabout the implications of various water management strategies. In addition, scenarioscanconsider the possible effects of external drivers, such as changes in political institutions, or large-scale environmental change that may be especially important in developingcountries.",
keywords = "Modelling, Planning, Projections, Scenarios, Stakeholder, Uncertainty, Water resources",
author = "Steven Stewart and Mohammed Mahmoud and Yuqiong Liu and Holly Hartmann and Thorsten Wagener and Hoshin Gupta",
year = "2007",
language = "English (US)",
isbn = "9781901502190",
series = "IAHS-AISH Publication",
number = "315",
pages = "192--198",
booktitle = "IAHS-AISH Publication - Changes in Water Resources Systems",
edition = "315",
note = "International Symposium: Changes in Water Resources Systems: Methodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management - 24th General Assemly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) ; Conference date: 02-07-2007 Through 13-07-2007",
}