Resolving the Differences in the Simulated and Reconstructed Temperature Response to Volcanism

Feng Zhu, Julien Emile-Geay, Gregory J. Hakim, Jonathan King, Kevin J. Anchukaitis

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

32 Scopus citations

Abstract

Explosive volcanism imposes impulse-like radiative forcing on the climate system, providing a natural experiment to study the climate response to perturbation. Previous studies have identified disagreements between paleoclimate reconstructions and climate model simulations with respect to the magnitude and recovery from volcanic cooling, questioning the fidelity of climate model simulations, reconstructions, or both. Using the paleoenvironmental data assimilation framework of the Last Millennium Reanalysis, this study investigates the causes of the disagreements, using both real and simulated data. We demonstrate that discrepancies since 1600 CE can be largely resolved by assimilating tree-ring density records only, targeting growing season temperature instead of annual temperature, and performing the comparison at proxy locales. Simulations of eruptions earlier in the last millennium may also reflect uncertainties in forcing and modeled aerosol microphysics.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbere2019GL086908
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume47
Issue number8
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 28 2020

Keywords

  • Last Millennium Reanalysis
  • Superposed Epoch Analysis
  • paleoclimate data assimilation
  • simulation-reconstruction comparison
  • temperature response
  • volcanic eruptions

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences

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