Prospecting the career development of talents: A survival analysis perspective

Huayu Li, Yong Ge, Hengshu Zhu, Hui Xiong, Hongke Zhao

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

50 Scopus citations

Abstract

The study of career development has become more important during a time of rising competition. Even with the help of newly available big data in the field of human resources, it is challenging to prospect the career development of talents in an effective manner, since the nature and structure of talent careers can change quickly. To this end, in this paper, we propose a novel survival analysis approach to model the talent career paths, with a focus on two critical issues in talent management, namely turnover and career progression. Specifically, for modeling the talent turnover behaviors, we formulate the prediction of survival status at a sequence of time intervals as a multi-task learning problem by considering the prediction at each time interval as a task. Also, we impose the ranking constraints to model both censored and uncensored data, and capture the intrinsic properties exhibited in general lifetime modeling with non-recurrent and recurrent events. Similarly, for modeling the talent career progression, each task concerns the prediction of a relative occupational level at each time interval. The ranking constraints imposed on different occupational levels can help to reduce the prediction error. Finally, we evaluate our approach with several state-of-the-art baseline methods on real-world talent data. The experimental results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed models for predicting the turnover and career progression of talents.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationKDD 2017 - Proceedings of the 23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery
Pages917-925
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)9781450348874
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 13 2017
Event23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 2017 - Halifax, Canada
Duration: Aug 13 2017Aug 17 2017

Publication series

NameProceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
VolumePart F129685

Conference

Conference23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 2017
Country/TerritoryCanada
CityHalifax
Period8/13/178/17/17

Keywords

  • Career development
  • Career path modeling
  • Multi-task learning
  • Ranking
  • Survival analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Information Systems

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