@inproceedings{86c80d9b33c243de9dab2ba788af9824,
title = "Prediction of the planet yield of the MaxProtoPlanetS high-contrast survey for H-alpha protoplanets with MagAO-X based on first light contrasts",
abstract = "Our past GAPplanetS survey over the last 5 years with the MagAO visible AO system discovered the first examples of accreting protoplanets (by direct observation of H-alpha emission). Examples include LkCa15 b (Sallum et al. 2015) and PDS70 b (Wagner et al. 2018). In this paper we review the science performance of the newly (Dec. 2019) commissioned MagAO-X extreme AO system. In particular, we use the vAPP coronagraphic contrasts measured during MagAO-X first light. We use the Massive Accreting Gap (MAG) protoplanet model of Close 2020 to predict the H-alpha contrasts of 19 of the best transitional disk systems (ages 1-5 Myr) for the direct detection of H-alpha from accretion of hydrogen onto these protoplanets. The MAG protoplanet model applied to the observed first light MagAO-X contrasts predict a maximum yield of 46±7 planets from 19 stars (42 of these planets would be new discoveries). This suggests that there is a large, yet, unexplored reservoir of protoplanets that can be discovered with an extreme AO coronagraphic survey of 19 of the best transitional disk systems. Based on our first light contrasts we predict a healthy yield of protoplanets from our MaxProtoPlanetS survey of 19 transitional disks with MagAO-X.",
keywords = "Adaptive optics, Coronagraphs, Exo-planets, H-alpha, High contrast imaging, Protoplanets, Wavefront control, Wavefront sensing",
author = "Close, {Laird M.} and Jared Males and Long, {Joseph D.} and {Van Gorkom}, Kyle and Hedglen, {Alexander D.} and Maggie Kautz and Jennifer Lumbres and Haffert, {Sebastiaan Y.} and Katherine Follette and Kevin Wagner and Kelsey Miller and Daniel Apai and Wu, {Ya Lin} and Olivier Guyon and Lauren Schatz and Alex Rodack and David Doelman and Frans Snik and Knight, {Justin M.} and Katie Morzinski and Victor Gasho and Christoph Keller and Logan Pearce and Alycia Weinberger and Laura P{\'e}rez and Ren{\'e} Doyon",
note = "Funding Information: We thank Logan Francis and Nienke van der Marel for permission to reproduce their ALMA images in Fig 5. We would also like to thank Sebastiaan Haffert (for the background for Fig 6). Laird Close was supported by a NASA eXoplanet Research Program (XRP) grant 80NSSC18K0441. The research of DD and FS leading to these results has received funding from the European Research Council under ERC Starting Grant agreement 678194 FALCONER). We are very grateful for support from the NSF MRI Award #1625441 (MagAO-X). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2020 SPIE.; Adaptive Optics Systems VII 2020 ; Conference date: 14-12-2020 Through 22-12-2020",
year = "2020",
doi = "10.1117/12.2561677",
language = "English (US)",
series = "Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering",
publisher = "SPIE",
editor = "Laura Schreiber and Dirk Schmidt and Elise Vernet",
booktitle = "Adaptive Optics Systems VII",
}