Portal Hypertensive Gastropathy and MELD-Na Score Predict Recurrent Gastrointestinal Bleeding After TIPSS: An ALTA Group Study

Background: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPSS) is highly effective for treatment of variceal bleeding; however, factors contributing to rebleeding complications remain unclear. Aims: In this study, we aim to determine risk factors for recurrent portal hypertensive gastrointestinal bleeding following TIPSS. Methods: Utilising the Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches multicentre database, we retrospectively identified adult patients who underwent TIPSS for secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding and had a gastrointestinal rebleeding event within 1 year. We developed multivariable logistic regression models to identify clinical/procedural characteristics associated with rebleeding. Results: We identified 476 patients, predominately middle-aged (mean age 57), male (62%) and White (65%), with mean MELD-Na 16. 16% (n = 77) had a rebleeding event; these patients were more likely to be male (p = 0.016), with higher serum creatinine (p = 0.005), MELD-Na (p = 0.0002), portal hypertensive gastropathy on pre-TIPSS upper endoscopy (p = 0.000) and with higher incidence of TIPSS revision (p = 0.000). There were no significant differences in type of TIPSS endoprosthesis, concurrent embolotherapy, and post-TIPSS pressure gradients between those who experienced rebleeding and those who did not. After adjusting for TIPSS revision, multivariable analysis revealed MELD-Na and presence of portal hypertensive gastropathy on pre-TIPSS endoscopy were independently associated with rebleeding. Conclusions: In this retrospective analysis of a multicentre, nationally representative database, we found that apart from TIPSS-related factors, high MELD-Na and portal hypertensive gastropathy on pre-TIPSS endoscopy were independent predictors of rebleeding within 1 year following TIPSS. These variables may be used to identify high-risk patients who may require additional monitoring following TIPSS.