TY - JOUR
T1 - Past climates inform our future
AU - Tierney, Jessica E.
AU - Poulsen, Christopher J.
AU - Montañez, Isabel P.
AU - Bhattacharya, Tripti
AU - Feng, Ran
AU - Ford, Heather L.
AU - Hönisch, Bärbel
AU - Inglis, Gordon N.
AU - Petersen, Sierra V.
AU - Sagoo, Navjit
AU - Tabor, Clay R.
AU - Thirumalai, Kaustubh
AU - Zhu, Jiang
AU - Burls, Natalie J.
AU - Foster, Gavin L.
AU - Goddéris, Yves
AU - Huber, Brian T.
AU - Ivany, Linda C.
AU - Turner, Sandra Kirtland
AU - Lunt, Daniel J.
AU - McElwain, Jennifer C.
AU - Mills, Benjamin J.W.
AU - Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.
AU - Ridgwell, Andy
AU - Zhang, Yi Ge
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
PY - 2020/11/6
Y1 - 2020/11/6
N2 - As the world warms, there is a profound need to improve projections of climate change. Although the latest Earth system models offer an unprecedented number of features, fundamental uncertainties continue to cloud our view of the future. Past climates provide the only opportunity to observe how the Earth system responds to high carbon dioxide, underlining a fundamental role for paleoclimatology in constraining future climate change. Here, we review the relevancy of paleoclimate information for climate prediction and discuss the prospects for emerging methodologies to further insights gained from past climates. Advances in proxy methods and interpretations pave the way for the use of past climates for model evaluation—a practice that we argue should be widely adopted.
AB - As the world warms, there is a profound need to improve projections of climate change. Although the latest Earth system models offer an unprecedented number of features, fundamental uncertainties continue to cloud our view of the future. Past climates provide the only opportunity to observe how the Earth system responds to high carbon dioxide, underlining a fundamental role for paleoclimatology in constraining future climate change. Here, we review the relevancy of paleoclimate information for climate prediction and discuss the prospects for emerging methodologies to further insights gained from past climates. Advances in proxy methods and interpretations pave the way for the use of past climates for model evaluation—a practice that we argue should be widely adopted.
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U2 - 10.1126/science.aay3701
DO - 10.1126/science.aay3701
M3 - Review article
C2 - 33154110
AN - SCOPUS:85095727339
SN - 0036-8075
VL - 370
JO - Science
JF - Science
IS - 6517
M1 - eaay3701
ER -