Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis

S. L. Mullen; D. P. Baumhefner

doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1548:MCSOEC>2.0.CO;2

Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis

S. L. Mullen
, D. P. Baumhefner

Hydrology and Atmospheric Science

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

53 Scopus citations

Abstract

The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	1548-1567
Number of pages	20
Journal	Monthly Weather Review
Volume	122
Issue number	7
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1548:MCSOEC>2.0.CO;2
State	Published - 1994

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Atmospheric Science

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10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1548:MCSOEC>2.0.CO;2

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title = "Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis",

abstract = "The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors",

author = "Mullen, \{S. L.\} and Baumhefner, \{D. P.\}",

year = "1994",

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AB - The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors

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U2 - 10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1548:MCSOEC>2.0.CO;2

DO - 10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1548:MCSOEC>2.0.CO;2

M3 - Article

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JO - Monthly Weather Review

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Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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