Abstract
The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 1548-1567 |
Number of pages | 20 |
Journal | Monthly Weather Review |
Volume | 122 |
Issue number | 7 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 1994 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Atmospheric Science