Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis

S. L. Mullen, D. P. Baumhefner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

52 Scopus citations


The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1548-1567
Number of pages20
JournalMonthly Weather Review
Issue number7
StatePublished - 1994

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science


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