Future climate: Projected average

Daniel R. Cayan, Mary Tyree, Kenneth E. Kunkel, Chris Castro, Alexander Gershunov, Joseph Barsugli, Andrea J. Ray, Jonathan Overpeck, Michael Anderson, Joellen Russell, Balaji Rajagopalan, Imtiaz Rangwala, Phil Duffy, Mathew Barlow

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

40 Scopus citations


This chapter describes possible climate changes projected to evolve during the twentyfirst century for the Southwest United States, as compared to recent historical climate. It focuses on how climate change might affect longer-term aspects of the climate in the Southwest and is closely related to Chapter 7, which is concerned with the implications of climate change on shorter period phenomena, especially extreme events. The projections derive from the outcomes of several global climate models, and associated "downscaled" regional climate simulations, using two emissions scenarios ("A2" or "high-emissions," and "B1" or "low-emissions") developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES; Nakićenović and Swart 2000).

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationAssessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States
Subtitle of host publicationA Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment
PublisherIsland Press-Center for Resource Economics
Number of pages25
ISBN (Electronic)9781610914840
ISBN (Print)9781597264204
StatePublished - Jan 1 2013

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Environmental Science
  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences


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