Explaining JWST Counts with Galaxy Formation Models

A distinct power-law break is apparent at m_AB ∼ 21 in the deep near-infrared PEARLS-JWST galaxy counts. The break becomes more pronounced at longer wavelengths, with the slope flattening smoothly with apparent magnitude in the shortest band used at 0.9 μm, and trending toward an increasingly broken slope by the longest wavelength passband of JWST’s Near Infrared Camera, 4.4 μm. This behaviour is remarkably well predicted by the GALFORM semi-analytical model of galaxy formation. We use the model to diagnose the origin of this behaviour. The features that are responsible for the break are (1) the inherent break in the luminosity function (LF); (2) the change in the volume element with redshift; (3) the redshift-dependent nature of the k-correction (with 1 contributing to the existence of the break and 2-3 contributing to its shape). We study the contribution to these effects by their morphology using the bulge-to-total stellar mass ratio. The way in which bulge-dominated galaxies populate the bright end of the LF while disk-dominated galaxies dominate the faint end is preserved in the galaxy number counts, with a characteristic stellar mass at a break of ∼10¹⁰M_⊙. The shape of the number counts is mainly driven by galaxies with relatively low redshift (z ≲ 2) for a limit of m_AB ≲ 28. We give a comprehensive description of why the galaxy number counts in the near-infrared PEARLS-JWST observation look the way they do and which population of galaxies is dominant at each apparent magnitude.