TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimating evapotranspiration under warmer climates
T2 - Insights from a semi-arid riparian system
AU - Serrat-Capdevila, Aleix
AU - Scott, Russell L.
AU - James Shuttleworth, W.
AU - Valdés, Juan B.
N1 - Funding Information:
This work was supported by SAHRA (Sustainability of semi-Arid Hydrology and Riparian Areas) under the STC Program of the National Science Foundation, Agreement No. EAR-9876800 and NSF award DEB-0415977, and by the International Center for Integrated Water Resources Management. Prafulla Pokhrel and Hoshin Gupta provided guidance and help in the implementation of the SCE-UA algorithm. Rafael Rosolem helped with calibration and provided valuable insights on the research, as also did James Hogan and Maite Guardiola. All contributions are gratefully acknowledged.
PY - 2011/3/8
Y1 - 2011/3/8
N2 - This paper presents an approach to quantify evapotranspiration under changing climates, using field observations, theoretical evaporation models and meteorological predictions from global climate models. We analyzed evaporation and meteorological data from three riparian sites located in a semi-arid watershed in southern Arizona USA and found that the surface resistance to water vapor transport was closely related to the vapor pressure deficit. From this, we developed a relatively simple daily conductance model and included a growing season index to accurately replicate the onset and the end of the growing season. After the model was calibrated with observations from January 2003 to December 2007, it was used to predict daily evapotranspiration rates from 2000 to 2100 using Penman-Monteith equation and meteorological projections from the IPCC fourth assessment report climate model runs. Results indicate that atmospheric demand will be greater and lead to increased reference crop evaporation, but evapotranspiration rates at the studied field sites will remain largely unchanged due to stomatal regulation. However, the length of the growing season will increase leading to a greater annual riparian water use. These findings of increased riparian water use and atmospheric demand, likely affecting recharge processes, will lead to greater groundwater deficits and decreased streamflow and have important implications for water management in semi-arid regions.
AB - This paper presents an approach to quantify evapotranspiration under changing climates, using field observations, theoretical evaporation models and meteorological predictions from global climate models. We analyzed evaporation and meteorological data from three riparian sites located in a semi-arid watershed in southern Arizona USA and found that the surface resistance to water vapor transport was closely related to the vapor pressure deficit. From this, we developed a relatively simple daily conductance model and included a growing season index to accurately replicate the onset and the end of the growing season. After the model was calibrated with observations from January 2003 to December 2007, it was used to predict daily evapotranspiration rates from 2000 to 2100 using Penman-Monteith equation and meteorological projections from the IPCC fourth assessment report climate model runs. Results indicate that atmospheric demand will be greater and lead to increased reference crop evaporation, but evapotranspiration rates at the studied field sites will remain largely unchanged due to stomatal regulation. However, the length of the growing season will increase leading to a greater annual riparian water use. These findings of increased riparian water use and atmospheric demand, likely affecting recharge processes, will lead to greater groundwater deficits and decreased streamflow and have important implications for water management in semi-arid regions.
KW - Actual evapotranspiration
KW - Climate change
KW - Growing season
KW - Riparian
KW - Surface resistance
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U2 - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.12.021
DO - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.12.021
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:79951579229
VL - 399
SP - 1
EP - 11
JO - Journal of Hydrology
JF - Journal of Hydrology
SN - 0022-1694
IS - 1-2
ER -