Abstract
Why do major powers attempt foreign-imposed regime change (FIRC)? This article builds on existing security theory, proposing that a major power looks for signals that a government might exit that major power’s international hierarchy and/or enter an adversary’s hierarchy. Major powers are more likely to attempt FIRC against states that signal shifting preferences. The article tests the theory on American FIRC attempts from 1947 to 1989, covert and overt, failed and successful, proposing that when a hierarchy member or neutral state engaged in economic expropriation, this signaled possible exit from the US hierarchy and/or entry into the Soviet hierarchy, making a US FIRC attempt against that state more likely. It also presents an alternative theory, that economic special interests drove US FIRC attempts. Using new data on expropriations, the article supports the security theory, as expropriations by US hierarchy members made FIRC attempts more likely, but does not support the special interests theory.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 651-676 |
Number of pages | 26 |
Journal | Journal of Conflict Resolution |
Volume | 66 |
Issue number | 4-5 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - May 2022 |
Keywords
- conflict
- foreign imposed regime change
- interstate conflict
- intervention
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- General Business, Management and Accounting
- Sociology and Political Science
- Political Science and International Relations
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Causes of Foreign-Imposed Regime Change: The Signal of Economic Expropriation
Villa, D. (Creator), Arnon, D. (Creator) & Reiter, D. (Creator), SAGE Journals, 2022
DOI: 10.25384/sage.c.5873387.v1, https://sage.figshare.com/collections/Causes_of_Foreign-Imposed_Regime_Change_The_Signal_of_Economic_Expropriation/5873387/1
Dataset
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Causes of Foreign-Imposed Regime Change: The Signal of Economic Expropriation
Villa, D. (Creator), Arnon, D. (Creator) & Reiter, D. (Creator), SAGE Journals, 2022
DOI: 10.25384/sage.c.5873387.v1, https://sage.figshare.com/collections/Causes_of_Foreign-Imposed_Regime_Change_The_Signal_of_Economic_Expropriation/5873387/1
Dataset
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Causes of Foreign-Imposed Regime Change: The Signal of Economic Expropriation
Villa, D. (Creator), Arnon, D. (Creator) & Reiter, D. (Creator), SAGE Journals, 2022
DOI: 10.25384/sage.c.5873387, https://sage.figshare.com/collections/Causes_of_Foreign-Imposed_Regime_Change_The_Signal_of_Economic_Expropriation/5873387
Dataset