TY - JOUR
T1 - Cardiac troponin t risk stratification model predicts all-cause mortality following kidney transplant
AU - Firth, Christine
AU - Shamoun, Fadi
AU - Cha, Stephen
AU - Zhang, Nan
AU - Patel, Salma
AU - Wennberg, Paul
AU - Amer, Hatem
AU - Wadei, Hani
AU - Heilman, Raymond
AU - Keddis, Mira
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 S. Karger AG, Basel.
PY - 2018/11/1
Y1 - 2018/11/1
N2 - Background: We evaluated the role of increased cardiac troponin T (cTnT), vascular, and cardiac diseases in predicting 5 and 10-year all-cause mortality after kidney transplantation. Methods: We reviewed a cohort of 764 kidney transplant recipients and analyzed pertinent cardiovascular risk factors at the time of transplant evaluation. Proportional hazards regression analysis with bootstrapping method was utilized to provide a risk stratification score for mortality. Results: Mean age was 58.8 years (SD 12.1) and median follow-up was 7.0 years (range 1 day to 18.0 years). Fifty-four percent of patients (n = 415) had cTnT measured (median 0.02 ng/mL, range 0.01-4.91). Fifty-three percent (n = 407) had vascular disease, 59% (n = 448) had diabetes, and 44% (n = 336) had cardiac disease pre-transplant. Sixty percent (n = 460) required dialysis. Older age, increased cTnT, pre-transplant vascular and cardiac diseases predicted mortality in multivariate analysis. We derived 2 scoring systems with and without cTnT - the ACV and ACTV scores (age, cardiac disease, elevated cTnT, and vascular disease) - as predictors of mortality after kidney transplant. Point assignments were: age 60-69 years (1), age ≥70 years (2), cardiac disease (1), cTnT ≥0.04 ng/mL (1), and vascular disease (1). Both scoring systems significantly predicted mortality. The ACTV score better delineated risk stratification across score levels (0-2, 3-4, and 5 points). Conclusions: We developed a risk schema predictive of all-cause mortality after kidney transplant in a derivation cohort. The ACTV score, including an elevated cTnT, provided superior prediction compared to a scoring system without cTnT. Further studies to validate these findings are needed.
AB - Background: We evaluated the role of increased cardiac troponin T (cTnT), vascular, and cardiac diseases in predicting 5 and 10-year all-cause mortality after kidney transplantation. Methods: We reviewed a cohort of 764 kidney transplant recipients and analyzed pertinent cardiovascular risk factors at the time of transplant evaluation. Proportional hazards regression analysis with bootstrapping method was utilized to provide a risk stratification score for mortality. Results: Mean age was 58.8 years (SD 12.1) and median follow-up was 7.0 years (range 1 day to 18.0 years). Fifty-four percent of patients (n = 415) had cTnT measured (median 0.02 ng/mL, range 0.01-4.91). Fifty-three percent (n = 407) had vascular disease, 59% (n = 448) had diabetes, and 44% (n = 336) had cardiac disease pre-transplant. Sixty percent (n = 460) required dialysis. Older age, increased cTnT, pre-transplant vascular and cardiac diseases predicted mortality in multivariate analysis. We derived 2 scoring systems with and without cTnT - the ACV and ACTV scores (age, cardiac disease, elevated cTnT, and vascular disease) - as predictors of mortality after kidney transplant. Point assignments were: age 60-69 years (1), age ≥70 years (2), cardiac disease (1), cTnT ≥0.04 ng/mL (1), and vascular disease (1). Both scoring systems significantly predicted mortality. The ACTV score better delineated risk stratification across score levels (0-2, 3-4, and 5 points). Conclusions: We developed a risk schema predictive of all-cause mortality after kidney transplant in a derivation cohort. The ACTV score, including an elevated cTnT, provided superior prediction compared to a scoring system without cTnT. Further studies to validate these findings are needed.
KW - Cardiovascular disease
KW - Clinical prediction
KW - Kidney transplant
KW - Mortality
KW - Troponin
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U2 - 10.1159/000493273
DO - 10.1159/000493273
M3 - Article
C2 - 30235441
AN - SCOPUS:85053774623
SN - 0250-8095
VL - 48
SP - 242
EP - 250
JO - American Journal of Nephrology
JF - American Journal of Nephrology
IS - 4
ER -