TY - GEN
T1 - An application of discrete event simulation for planning and resource allocation in a state hospital system servicing both criminal and civil commitments
AU - Bartos, Bradley J.
AU - Mioduszewski, Michelle
AU - Renner, Matthew
AU - McCleary, Richard
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 IEEE.
PY - 2017/6/28
Y1 - 2017/6/28
N2 - A discrete event simulation (DES) model with Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) forecast inputs, sampled service times, resource capacities and scheduled resource changes was used to project inpatient populations, referral waitlists, and bed utilization for a five-site hospital system with over 10,000 patients. Based on a SAS Simulation Studio platform, the model can project arbitrary subpopulations on a three-year horizon and perform 'what if' experiments with bed allocations and patient flows. This application demonstrates the utility of DES for providers with statutory obligations to serve forensic populations, while also exposing the limitations presented by missing data, non-random variations in data collection across sites, and sizable exogenous variation.
AB - A discrete event simulation (DES) model with Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) forecast inputs, sampled service times, resource capacities and scheduled resource changes was used to project inpatient populations, referral waitlists, and bed utilization for a five-site hospital system with over 10,000 patients. Based on a SAS Simulation Studio platform, the model can project arbitrary subpopulations on a three-year horizon and perform 'what if' experiments with bed allocations and patient flows. This application demonstrates the utility of DES for providers with statutory obligations to serve forensic populations, while also exposing the limitations presented by missing data, non-random variations in data collection across sites, and sizable exogenous variation.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85044502894&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85044502894&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/WSC.2017.8248182
DO - 10.1109/WSC.2017.8248182
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85044502894
T3 - Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
SP - 4509
EP - 4511
BT - 2017 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2017
A2 - Chan, Victor
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
T2 - 2017 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2017
Y2 - 3 December 2017 through 6 December 2017
ER -