A TREE‐RING RECONSTRUCTION OF DROUGHT IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

David M. Meko; Charles W. Stockton; William R. Boggess

doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.1980.tb02436.x

A TREE‐RING RECONSTRUCTION OF DROUGHT IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

David M. Meko, Charles W. Stockton, William R. Boggess

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

40 Scopus citations

Abstract

ABSTRACT: Indices of annual diameter growth of trees were used to reconstruct drought in southern California back to A.D. 1700. A regional Palmer Drought Index served as predictand and tree‐ring indices from eight sites as predictors in multiple linear regression analyses that yielded the prediction (reconstruction) equations. The regression explained 69 percent of the variance in Palmer Index in the period of calibration. The long‐term reconstruction indicated that drought was rare in the first half of the current century relative to other discrete 50‐year periods, and that based on evidence to date the last half of the 20th century may well turn out to be the most drought prone since A.D. 1700 in southern California.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	594-600
Number of pages	7
Journal	JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association
Volume	16
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1980.tb02436.x
State	Published - Aug 1980

Keywords

climatic change
drought
proxy data
tree rings
water resources

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Ecology
Water Science and Technology
Earth-Surface Processes

Access to Document

10.1111/j.1752-1688.1980.tb02436.x

Cite this

@article{94dbdfb9e003467f9f48ab69ab44971c,

title = "A TREE‐RING RECONSTRUCTION OF DROUGHT IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA",

abstract = "ABSTRACT: Indices of annual diameter growth of trees were used to reconstruct drought in southern California back to A.D. 1700. A regional Palmer Drought Index served as predictand and tree‐ring indices from eight sites as predictors in multiple linear regression analyses that yielded the prediction (reconstruction) equations. The regression explained 69 percent of the variance in Palmer Index in the period of calibration. The long‐term reconstruction indicated that drought was rare in the first half of the current century relative to other discrete 50‐year periods, and that based on evidence to date the last half of the 20th century may well turn out to be the most drought prone since A.D. 1700 in southern California.",

keywords = "climatic change, drought, proxy data, tree rings, water resources",

author = "Meko, {David M.} and Stockton, {Charles W.} and Boggess, {William R.}",

year = "1980",

month = aug,

doi = "10.1111/j.1752-1688.1980.tb02436.x",

language = "English (US)",

volume = "16",

pages = "594--600",

journal = "JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association",

issn = "1093-474X",

publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd",

number = "4",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - A TREE‐RING RECONSTRUCTION OF DROUGHT IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

AU - Meko, David M.

AU - Stockton, Charles W.

AU - Boggess, William R.

PY - 1980/8

Y1 - 1980/8

N2 - ABSTRACT: Indices of annual diameter growth of trees were used to reconstruct drought in southern California back to A.D. 1700. A regional Palmer Drought Index served as predictand and tree‐ring indices from eight sites as predictors in multiple linear regression analyses that yielded the prediction (reconstruction) equations. The regression explained 69 percent of the variance in Palmer Index in the period of calibration. The long‐term reconstruction indicated that drought was rare in the first half of the current century relative to other discrete 50‐year periods, and that based on evidence to date the last half of the 20th century may well turn out to be the most drought prone since A.D. 1700 in southern California.

AB - ABSTRACT: Indices of annual diameter growth of trees were used to reconstruct drought in southern California back to A.D. 1700. A regional Palmer Drought Index served as predictand and tree‐ring indices from eight sites as predictors in multiple linear regression analyses that yielded the prediction (reconstruction) equations. The regression explained 69 percent of the variance in Palmer Index in the period of calibration. The long‐term reconstruction indicated that drought was rare in the first half of the current century relative to other discrete 50‐year periods, and that based on evidence to date the last half of the 20th century may well turn out to be the most drought prone since A.D. 1700 in southern California.

KW - climatic change

KW - drought

KW - proxy data

KW - tree rings

KW - water resources

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84978581354&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84978581354&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1980.tb02436.x

DO - 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1980.tb02436.x

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:84978581354

SN - 1093-474X

VL - 16

SP - 594

EP - 600

JO - JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association

JF - JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association

IS - 4

ER -

A TREE‐RING RECONSTRUCTION OF DROUGHT IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this