A comparison between two Bayesian approaches for probabilistic contaminant source identification

Xueyao Yang, Dominic L. Boccelli, Annamaria E. De Sanctis

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Drinking water distribution system models have been increasingly utilized in the development and implementation of contaminant warning systems. This study proposes a new Bayesian approach for probabilistic contamination source identification using a Beta-Binomial conjugate pair framework to identify contaminant source locations and times, and compares the performance of this algorithm to previous work based on a Bayes' Rule approach. The evaluation of the performance associated with the two algorithms was conducted by a simple comparison as well as a simulation study in terms of a conservative "chemical injection" event through a small distribution system network. Results from the simple comparison showed that the Beta-Binomial approach was more "responsive" to changes in sensor signals. In terms of the chemical intrusion event, the Beta-Binomial approach was more selective than the Bayes' Rule approach in identifying potential node-time pairs.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationUrban Water Management
Subtitle of host publicationChallenges and Oppurtunities - 11th International Conference on Computing and Control for the Water Industry, CCWI 2011
PublisherCentre for Water Systems
ISBN (Print)0953914089, 9780953914081
StatePublished - 2011
Externally publishedYes
Event11th International Conference on Computing and Control for the Water Industry, CCWI 2011 - Exeter, United Kingdom
Duration: Sep 5 2011Sep 7 2011

Publication series

NameUrban Water Management: Challenges and Oppurtunities - 11th International Conference on Computing and Control for the Water Industry, CCWI 2011
Volume1

Conference

Conference11th International Conference on Computing and Control for the Water Industry, CCWI 2011
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityExeter
Period9/5/119/7/11

Keywords

  • Bayes' Rule
  • Beta-Binomial
  • Source identification
  • Water security

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Science Applications
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Water Science and Technology

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